Daily reportFriday, 30 October 2026at the close, Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC
Large whales lean short on crypto and on stocks.
Whale Tide 28, short, up 1 since yesterday. 46% of directional whale money is under water, 11.1% from entry on average.
Crypto
Whales lean short on BTC (63% of $1.72B in whale positions) and on ETH (59% of $1.39B). Retail leans the other way: crowd 72 against the whales' 26. Tracked whales lost $6.4M to liquidation in crypto in the last 24 hours, all of it longs.
TradFi
In TradFi whales lean short on stocks (Tide 35), split on indices (Tide 52) and short on metals (Tide 25). The clearest lean among the headline markets: the S&P 500, 69% long of $138M. Tracked whales lost $2.6M to liquidation in TradFi in the last 24 hours, all of it longs.
Under water
Over the last 32 daily closes, the share under water ran from 46% to 62%. 46% is the lowest in that span.
Money at a loss at the day's closing price, counted like the Tide: directional whales only. Hedges and market makers stay out, because one leg of a hedge is always at a loss.
Near liquidation
Longs hold $80.2M of the money near liquidation, shorts $21.8M. Over the last 32 daily closes the total ran from $12.9M to $383M.
Whale money within 5% of its liquidation price, every wallet counted. Longs there would be forced to sell into a fall, shorts to buy into a rise.
Cases of the day · 30 Oct
The largest liquidation · 13:53 UTC
BTC Low Trough lost a $3.1M BTC long to liquidation at $76.8K after 8 hours (−$66K realised).
BTC price on this day, UTC
The largest realised gain · 01:45 UTC
BTC Upper Meridian closes its BTC long after 119 days: $10.4M at its largest, +$2.6M realised over the whole position.
BTC price on this day, UTC
The closing moveThe whale's logBTC exitsProof on Hyperliquid
The largest realised loss · 08:49 UTC
BTC Polar Mistral closes its BTC long after 12 hours: $47.3M at its largest, −$596K realised over the whole position.
BTC price on this day, UTC
The closing moveThe whale's logBTC exitsProof on Hyperliquid
The largest new money · 23:35 UTC
BTC Sleeping Drizzle opens a $24.9M BTC long at $77.3K. Track record 49/100.
BTC price on this day, UTC
Moves of the day $1M or more
- HYPEAdds to a long
Smooth Fog adds $733K to its HYPE long, now $3.6M. Track record 85/100.
- ZECAdds to a long
Brine Octopus adds $300K to its ZEC long, now $1.1M. Track record 83/100.
- BTCAdds to a long
Indigo Glacier adds $1000K to its BTC long, now $1.5M. Track record 67/100.
- BTCAdds to a short
Midnight Squall adds $1.7M to its BTC short, now $2M. Track record 51/100.
- ETHAdds to a short
Deep Rorqual adds $224K to its ETH short, now $1.1M. Track record 86/100.
- BTCCloses a short
Weathered Horizon closes its $9.1M BTC short at $77.2K after 10 hours (−$5K realised).
- BTCAdds to a short
Silent Meridian adds $3.8M to its BTC short, now $5M. Track record 67/100.
- BTCOpens a long
Sleeping Drizzle opens a $24.9M BTC long at $77.3K. Track record 49/100.
- ZECAdds to a long
Wintry Grampus adds $901K to its ZEC long, now $1.7M. Track record 21/100.
- BTCCloses a long
Deep Rorqual closes its $1.3M BTC long at $77.2K after 5 hours (+$6K realised).
- BTCAdds to a short
Silent Meridian adds $924K to its BTC short, now $1.2M. Track record 67/100.
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As archived at the day's close, Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC. It describes positioning and what happened. It is not a signal. Not financial advice.